Georgia Senate Poll Shows Ossoff With Double-Digit Lead as Inflation Tops Voter Concerns

ATLANTA — Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a 13-percentage-point lead over Republican challenger Mike Collins in Georgia's 2026 Senate race, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday, with 40% of voters naming inflation as the issue most important to their Senate vote — a margin that underscores how economic anxiety is driving outcomes even in states once considered reliably contested.

A Wide Lead Built on Broad Coalition

The Fox News survey of 1,002 Georgia registered voters, conducted June 23–27 under the joint direction of Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research, puts Ossoff at 56% support against Collins at 43%. Among the 82% of voters who describe themselves as motivated to vote, Ossoff leads by 11 points, 55% to 44%.

Ossoff draws support from 87% of Black voters, 68% of those under age 30, 68% of independents, 66% of moderates, and 66% of women under 45. Nearly all Democrats — 96% — back the incumbent, and more than eight in ten of his supporters say their vote is for him rather than against his opponent.

Collins' strongest groups include White evangelical Christians at 79%, White men without a college degree at 65%, and rural voters at 55%. Nine in ten Republicans back him, but 44% of his supporters describe their vote primarily as opposition to Ossoff rather than support for Collins. Notably, nearly a quarter of non-MAGA Republicans say they will vote for the Democrat.

Inflation Dominates, Finances Under Pressure

The poll's macro signal is the dominance of inflation, which stands more than 27 percentage points clear of the next-ranked issue. Healthcare comes in second at 13%, followed by political divisions, immigration, and jobs and unemployment — each at 11%. Fewer voters name the Iran conflict (5%), crime (5%), or abortion (3%).

Ossoff leads by 21 points among voters most concerned about inflation and by 40 points among those focused on healthcare. Collins leads by 45 points among voters for whom immigration is the top priority.

Despite the inflation concern, half of Georgia voters (51%) say their finances are holding steady, while 35% say they are falling behind. Only 14% feel they are getting ahead financially.

Trump Proximity Cuts Both Ways

Nearly six in ten Georgians view Ossoff favorably (58%), compared with 44% for Collins and 42% for President Trump. Trump's favorable rating has dropped 5 points from 47% in the 2024 Fox News Voter Analysis for Georgia, a state he carried by about 2 points that year after losing it by less than a point in 2020.

Georgians are 6 points more likely to say they are extremely or very concerned that Collins is too close to Trump (53%) than that Ossoff is too liberal (47%). Collins secured the GOP nomination after receiving a last-minute Trump endorsement, defeating Derek Dooley — who had the backing of Governor Brian Kemp — in the June primary runoff.

Daron Shaw, the Republican co-director of the poll, paraphrased the situation as Ossoff sitting in a commanding position, while adding that Collins has work to do persuading Republicans and independents that he and the president can make things more affordable for rank-and-file Georgians.

Governor's Race Within Margin

In the parallel governor's contest, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a 5-point edge over Republican Rick Jackson, 52% to 47% — within the poll's margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Some ticket-splitting is evident: 11% of Ossoff supporters back Jackson for governor, while 5% of Collins supporters favor Lance Bottoms.

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